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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 1 December 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

88 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 1 December 2024. Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom sits top on 79% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 2 FT
Atletico Goianiense
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daegu FC
3 : 1 FT
Asan Mugunghwa
✓ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Seoul E-Land FC
1 : 2 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 32%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
1 : 3 FT
Khimki
Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
2 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
✓ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–0 · 9%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
3 : 0 FT
Chornomorets
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
2 : 5 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 23%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
3 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
✓ Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
2 : 4 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 29%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
0 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
1 : 0 FT
Bangkok United
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
1 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
✓ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
1 : 3 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
2 : 2 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Ulm 1846
1 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
4 : 4 FT
RWDM
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
2 : 2 FT
Girona
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
3 : 0 FT
Kayserispor
✓ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 3 FT
FC Sion
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · England
Chelsea
3 : 0 FT
Aston Villa
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
4 : 0 FT
Everton
✓ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · England
Tottenham
1 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0 FT
Heracles
✓ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
3 : 2 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panserraikos
2 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
0 : 3 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
0 : 1 FT
FC BW Linz
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit
2 : 3 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 54%
Draw 31%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 1 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 17%
Draw 29%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
2 : 2 FT
Lille
Win 18%
Draw 22%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Parma
3 : 1 FT
Lazio
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Torino
0 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 26%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
3 : 2 FT
Cesena
Win 24%
Draw 37%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo
2 : 0 FT
Spezia
Win 21%
Draw 39%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–1 · 19%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa
2 : 2 FT
Cosenza
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 32%
Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
✓ Win 38%
Draw 36%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Derby
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
3 : 2 FT
Cercle Brugge
✓ Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
0 : 0 FT
Anderlecht
Win 26%
Draw 35%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
3 : 4 FT
RAAL La Louvière
Win 21%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
0 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 28%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 45%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
2 : 1 FT
Famalicao
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
3 : 0 FT
FC Lugano
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
3 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
2 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
2 : 0 FT
Manchester City
✓ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
0 : 1 FT
Angers
Win 26%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
2 : 0 FT
Auxerre
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
4 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
0 : 2 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
1 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
0 : 4 FT
Rosenborg
Win 24%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 51%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 0 FT
Molde
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
0 : 1 FT
Fredrikstad
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
2 : 1 FT
ODD Ballklubb
✓ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 : 1 FT
Tromso
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
5 : 2 FT
Lillestrom
✓ Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 3–1 · 8%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 2 FT
Eyüpspor
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
1 : 3 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Dinamo Makhachkala
0 : 0 FT
Fakel
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Salernitana
4 : 1 FT
Carrarese
Win 36%
Draw 36%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 4 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 28%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 2 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
0 : 3 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
2 : 2 FT
Kallithea
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 2 FT
Athletic Club
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
Antwerp
✓ Win 43%
Draw 36%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
3 : 2 FT
FK Jablonec
✓ Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
0 : 2 FT
Benfica
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 2 FT
Gent
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
1 : 2 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 25%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 1 FT
Atromitos
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
2 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
✓ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
3 : 2 FT
Internacional
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
2 : 1 FT
Monaco
Win 17%
Draw 20%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Lecce
1 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 14%
Draw 20%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 0 FT
Real Betis
✓ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
AVS
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 18%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 60%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Vitoria
2 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 1 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 1 FT
Fluminense
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Showing 88 of 88 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 1 December 2024?

88 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.