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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Tuesday 19 May 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
1 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
1 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
1 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
Win 34%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
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Showing top 12 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.