Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β Saturday 7 March 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 7 March 2026. FC Sion vs FC Winterthur (FC Sion or draw) led the list at 93% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Sion or draw
93%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
91%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98 or draw
90%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw
89%
Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol or draw
89%
Championship Β· England
Derby or draw
87%
Championship Β· England
Ipswich or draw
86%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RWDM or draw
86%
League Two Β· England
Chesterfield or draw
86%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Prachuap or draw
86%
Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus or draw
86%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr or draw
86%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd or draw
85%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril or draw
85%
La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna or draw
84%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
84%
Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng or draw
84%
Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta or draw
83%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise or draw
83%
Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia or draw
82%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance β common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 7 March 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Sion vs FC Winterthur (FC Sion or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.