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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 7 March 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 7 March 2026. FC Sion vs FC Winterthur (FC Sion or draw) led the list at 93% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Sion or draw 93%
FC Sion
1 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 73%
Draw 20%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 91%
AEK Athens FC
1 : 0 FT
Larisa
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 54%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 or draw 90%
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 0 FT
Holstein Kiel
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw 89%
Al Kholood
1 : 4 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 11%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Sudtirol or draw 89%
Sudtirol
0 : 1 FT
Virtus Entella
Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 67% Sudtirol Clean Sheet 59%
#6 Championship Β· England Derby or draw 87%
Derby
2 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#7 Championship Β· England Ipswich or draw 86%
Ipswich
1 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium RWDM or draw 86%
Olympic Charleroi
0 : 2 FT
RWDM
Win 14%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 League Two Β· England Chesterfield or draw 86%
Chesterfield
2 : 3 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Prachuap or draw 86%
Prachuap
2 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 86%
Juventus
4 : 0 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 86%
Al-Nassr
1 : 0 FT
NEOM
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd or draw 85%
Sheffield Utd
1 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Estoril or draw 85%
Estoril
0 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain Osasuna or draw 84%
Osasuna
2 : 2 FT
Mallorca
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 84%
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#17 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 84%
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Shenyang Urban
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 83%
Atalanta
2 : 2 FT
Udinese
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 83%
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
Genk
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy Venezia or draw 82%
Venezia
2 : 0 FT
Reggiana
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 7 March 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Sion vs FC Winterthur (FC Sion or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.