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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 10 March 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 10 March 2026. Sheffield Wednesday vs Watford (Watford or draw) led the list at 84% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the double chance market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England Watford or draw 84%
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#2 League One Β· England Lincoln or draw 83%
Exeter City
0 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 17%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 60%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Jazira or draw 82%
Al-Dhafra
1 : 2 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 18%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 League Two Β· England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 80%
Gillingham
1 : 5 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 League One Β· England Stevenage or draw 79%
Stevenage
1 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#6 Championship Β· England Portsmouth or draw 79%
Portsmouth
1 : 2 FT
Swansea
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Ajman or draw 77%
Al Bataeh
1 : 0 FT
Ajman
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 10 March 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Wednesday vs Watford (Watford or draw) at 84% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.