Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Wednesday 4 March 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
Nine matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 4 March 2026. Palermo vs Mantova (Palermo or draw) led the list at 90% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Serie B supplies three of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Serie B · Italy
Palermo or draw
90%
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
89%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone or draw
87%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos or draw
85%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano or draw
80%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano or draw
79%
Premier League · England
Fulham or draw
78%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern or draw
76%
Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia or draw
76%
Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 4 March 2026?
nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Palermo vs Mantova (Palermo or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.