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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 6 March 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Friday 6 March 2026. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma (Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw) sits top on 94% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 94%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4 : 0 FT
Al Najma
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Al-Hilal Saudi FC Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC or draw 90%
Port FC
3 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 90%
Bayern München
4 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 89%
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 3 FT
Monaco
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 85%
Famalicao
1 : 0 FT
Arouca
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 84%
Napoli
2 : 1 FT
Torino
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 84%
Dordrecht
1 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 82%
Oleksandria
0 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland Galway United or draw 81%
Galway United
2 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Khaleej Saihat or draw 80%
Al Khaleej Saihat
2 : 1 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Schalke 04 or draw 80%
FC Schalke 04
1 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 79%
FC Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 78%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians or draw 78%
Waterford
0 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 22%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 78%
RAAL La Louvière
0 : 0 FT
Antwerp
Win 22%
Draw 33%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#16 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shelbourne or draw 77%
Shelbourne
2 : 3 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#17 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 76%
Chengdu Better City
5 : 1 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France Guingamp or draw 76%
Laval
2 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 18 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 6 March 2026?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma (Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.