Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 8 March 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 8 March 2026. Lens vs Metz (Lens or draw) led the list at 90% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Ligue 1 · France
Lens or draw
90%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal or draw
89%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen or draw
85%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29 or draw
83%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren or draw
83%
Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro or draw
83%
Primera División · Chile
Palestino or draw
82%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg or draw
81%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur or draw
80%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Motor Lublin or draw
80%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov or draw
80%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV or draw
80%
Serie A · Italy
Inter or draw
80%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK or draw
80%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe or draw
80%
Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis or draw
80%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow or draw
79%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor or draw
79%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II or draw
78%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 8 March 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lens vs Metz (Lens or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.