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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 21 September 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

92 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 21 September 2025. Monaco vs Metz led the list at 76% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 29%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
4 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
0 : 0 FT
FC Anyang
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
1 : 0 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
1 : 3 FT
Dynamo
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League · China
Beijing Guoan
2 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
3 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 0 FT
Jeju United FC
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
SK Poltava
0 : 2 FT
FC Kharkiv
Win 27%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 49%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
0 : 2 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 2 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio
0 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United
1 : 0 FT
BG Pathum United
✓ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Dukla Praha
0 : 2 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 : 3 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 36%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Dynamo Dresden
2 : 2 FT
Hannover 96
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
3 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
1 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 32%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
2 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Rayong FC
2 : 2 FT
Ayutthaya FC
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
1 : 3 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 0 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
✓ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Tianjin Teda Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
4 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
0 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 2 FT
Buriram United
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
3 : 2 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 54%
Draw 20%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
1 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
1 : 1 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
2 : 0 FT
FC BW Linz
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
1 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 4 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · England
Bournemouth
0 : 0 FT
Newcastle
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Premier League · England
Sunderland
1 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris FC
2 : 3 FT
Strasbourg
Win 36%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
0 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Torino
0 : 3 FT
Atalanta
Win 28%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
3 : 4 FT
Avellino
Win 43%
Draw 38%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 : 4 FT
Union Berlin
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
0 : 1 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
1 : 1 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 3 FT
Oxford United
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
0 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 1 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
1 : 0 FT
Lokeren-Temse
✓ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
1 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kocaelispor
1 : 1 FT
Rizespor
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Baltika
0 : 0 FT
FC Rostov
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
1 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Tondela
0 : 0 FT
Estrela
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
1 : 3 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Larisa
1 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 0 FT
MVV
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
2 : 0 FT
Haugesund
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
2 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
1 : 0 FT
Ham-Kam
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
4 : 0 FT
OFI
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Grazer AK
1 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
4 : 5 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 23%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 52%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Auxerre
1 : 0 FT
Toulouse
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
1 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
5 : 2 FT
Metz
✓ Win 77%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Serie B · Italy
Pescara
4 : 0 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Arsenal
1 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
3 : 2 FT
Widzew Łódź
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
2 : 1 FT
VPS
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 2 FT
Como
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
0 : 1 FT
Ajman
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Elche
1 : 0 FT
Oviedo
✓ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
0 : 2 FT
Zenit
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
2 : 0 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor
3 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
✓ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
1 : 0 FT
Molde
✓ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
0 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
✓ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Padova
2 : 1 FT
Virtus Entella
Win 29%
Draw 38%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
2 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
✓ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
Mirassol
2 : 0 FT
Juventude
✓ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 1 FT
Forge
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 1 FT
Famalicao
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
2 : 3 FT
Gremio
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Sport Recife
1 : 0 FT
Corinthians
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Vancouver FC
2 : 1 FT
York United
Win 22%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 92 of 92 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 21 September 2025?

92 fixtures met the criteria, led by Monaco vs Metz at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.