Correct Score Predictions
Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 16 August 2024
The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.
39 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 16 August 2024. Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown led the list at 79% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 37%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
K League 1 · South-Korea
K League 1 · South-Korea
Super League · China
Super League · China
Super League · China
Super League · China
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Premier League · Ukraine
Premier League · Ukraine
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Superettan · Sweden
Superettan · Sweden
La Liga · Spain
Ligue 2 · France
Ligue 2 · France
Ligue 2 · France
Ligue 2 · France
Ligue 2 · France
Ligue 2 · France
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Süper Lig · Turkey
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Serie B · Italy
Ligue 1 · France
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Premier League · England
Championship · England
Primeira Liga · Portugal
La Liga · Spain
Showing 39 of 39 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Correct Score — common questions
What does the Correct Score market mean?
Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 16 August 2024?
39 fixtures met the criteria, led by Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown at 79% most likely scoreline.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these correct score predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.