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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 3 March 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 84 fixtures on Sunday 3 March 2024. Sporting CP vs Farense led the list at 79% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 28%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
0 : 1 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
1 : 0 FT
Samsunspor
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Pendikspor
0 : 2 FT
Konyaspor
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
2 : 1 FT
Prachuap
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 1 FT
Fakel
Win 46%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
3 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 1 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 19%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
2 : 0 FT
Utrecht
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
ŁKS Łódź
3 : 2 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
1 : 0 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
2 : 1 FT
Nice
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
0 : 2 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Uthai Thani
1 : 1 FT
Chonburi FC
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
1 : 2 FT
VfL Osnabrück
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
0 : 0 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Elversberg
0 : 3 FT
SV Wehen
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
0 : 3 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
1 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Burnley
0 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 21%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
5 : 1 FT
Granada CF
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
2 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
0 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heerenveen
2 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
2 : 1 FT
Lokomotiv
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
0 : 0 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
0 : 2 FT
Metz
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
2 : 2 FT
Strasbourg
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 0 FT
Le Havre
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
Cagliari
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Italy
Frosinone
1 : 1 FT
Lecce
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zlin
0 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 16%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
3 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 9%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
3 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 17%
Draw 27%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 18%
Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
0 : 0 FT
Reggiana
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
0 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Como
2 : 1 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
0 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Feralpisalo
1 : 3 FT
Sampdoria
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Real Betis
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
3 : 1 FT
Manchester United
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
0 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
0 : 0 FT
Vizela
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Winterthur
2 : 1 FT
Yverdon Sport
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Zurich
1 : 0 FT
BSC Young Boys
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
5 : 2 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 21%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
0 : 1 FT
Galatasaray
Win 20%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
1 : 0 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Sturm Graz
4 : 0 FT
Wolfsberger AC
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
1 : 1 FT
Austria Lustenau
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
FC BW Linz
1 : 2 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 0 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 22%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Russia
Baltika
0 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
Win 35%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
5 : 2 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
1 : 2 FT
Lorient
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
2 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
4 : 0 FT
Lech Poznan
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
1 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
0 : 0 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
0 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
1 : 0 FT
Girona
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
1 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 14%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
3 : 3 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kifisia
2 : 2 FT
Panetolikos
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
2 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panserraikos
2 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAS Giannina
1 : 1 FT
Atromitos
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
0 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 65%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 2 FT
Farense
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 79%
Model Score 3–0 Β· 10%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
3 : 2 FT
RWDM
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
2 : 3 FT
Oostende
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
2 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
0 : 3 FT
Lens
Win 31%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
2 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
0 : 0 FT
Barcelona
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
5 : 0 FT
Benfica
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
2 : 0 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
1 : 3 FT
Deportes Iquique
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%

Showing 84 of 84 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 3 March 2024?

84 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Farense at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.