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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 12 August 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

112 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 12 August 2023. The strongest reading belongs to PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht at 70% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour
3 : 2 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 1 FT
Suwon Bluewings
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
2 : 0 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
0 : 4 FT
Gais
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
3 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
0 : 0 FT
Buriram United
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
✓ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Coventry
3 : 0 FT
Middlesbrough
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 4 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
✓ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Super League · China
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
1 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
1 : 4 FT
Bangkok United
Win 33%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
2 : 0 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
2 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
3 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 2 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten
5 : 1 FT
Landskrona BoIS
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Superettan · Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 2 FT
Gefle IF
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 1 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
2 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
✓ Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zlin
1 : 1 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Bournemouth
1 : 1 FT
West Ham
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Brighton
4 : 1 FT
Luton
✓ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Everton
0 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 32%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 41%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Sheffield Utd
0 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 33%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Birmingham
1 : 0 FT
Leeds
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Cardiff
1 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Huddersfield
0 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Championship · England
Hull City
4 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
✓ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Ipswich
2 : 0 FT
Stoke City
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Millwall
0 : 1 FT
Bristol City
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Preston
2 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Rotherham
2 : 2 FT
Blackburn
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Southampton
4 : 4 FT
Norwich
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Watford
0 : 0 FT
Plymouth
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Championship · England
West Brom
3 : 2 FT
Swansea
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Burton Albion
0 : 3 FT
Derby
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Cheltenham
0 : 3 FT
Bolton
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Exeter City
0 : 0 FT
Blackpool
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Lincoln
3 : 0 FT
Wycombe
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Oxford United
1 : 0 FT
Carlisle
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League One · England
Peterborough
1 : 0 FT
Charlton
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Port Vale
1 : 0 FT
Reading
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Stevenage
2 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Wigan
2 : 1 FT
Northampton
✓ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Leyton Orient
0 : 4 FT
Portsmouth
Win 32%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Barrow
2 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Bradford
2 : 1 FT
Colchester
✓ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
0 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Mansfield Town
3 : 0 FT
Morecambe
✓ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Newport County
4 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Notts County
3 : 2 FT
Grimsby
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Salford City
1 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
2 : 2 FT
Crewe
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Walsall
2 : 1 FT
Stockport County
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
2 : 2 FT
Molde
Win 36%
Draw 22%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
1 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge II
3 : 2 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
✓ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
AC Oulu
1 : 1 FT
Lahti
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
0 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Utrecht
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
5 : 0 FT
Portimonense
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
0 : 2 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 45%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
2 : 1 FT
Reims
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
0 : 0 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 1 FT
Austria Lustenau
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 0 FT
Damac
✓ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
0 : 1 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 2 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0 : 3 FT
FC Zurich
Win 22%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 49%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
3 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 34%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 5 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 32%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
5 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
3 : 2 FT
Ankaragücü
✓ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
1 : 1 FT
İstanbulspor
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
5 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
3 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 2 · France
Angers
0 : 0 FT
Annecy
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
3 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre
0 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 33%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 40%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen
2 : 0 FT
PAU
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
0 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
3 : 1 FT
Laval
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
2 : 0 FT
Paris FC
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
0 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Farense
0 : 3 FT
Casa Pia
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
3 : 0 FT
Rubin
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Las Palmas
1 : 1 FT
Mallorca
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
2 : 0 FT
FC BW Linz
✓ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
4 : 1 FT
Heracles
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
1 : 0 FT
ŁKS Łódź
✓ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden
3 : 1 FT
Deinze
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
0 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 36%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 41%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
3 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
1 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
0 : 0 FT
Galatasaray
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Pendikspor
1 : 5 FT
Hatayspor
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
0 : 0 FT
Lorient
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
1 : 2 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 27%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Coquimbo Unido
2 : 2 FT
Colo Colo
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
3 : 0 FT
Vancouver FC
✓ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 2 FT
Vizela
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
0 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 1 FT
Deportes Copiapo
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Showing 112 of 112 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 12 August 2023?

112 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht at 70% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.