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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 13 February 2026

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 13 February 2026. The strongest reading belongs to FC OSS vs Jong AZ at 92% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 26%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 75%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
3 : 0 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
0 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 2 FT
Roda
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
1 : 1 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
3 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
Win 22%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
5 : 1 FT
Eyüpspor
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
3 : 1 FT
Nantes
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
5 : 1 FT
Karlsruher SC
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
3 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
1 : 1 FT
Uthai Thani
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
1 : 2 FT
Rodez
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
1 : 4 FT
Dunkerque
Win 27%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
0 : 2 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
GKS Katowice
1 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 13 February 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC OSS vs Jong AZ at 92% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.