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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 17 April 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 52 fixtures on Friday 17 April 2026. Inter vs Cagliari led the list at 74% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
0 : 0 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Super League · China
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2 : 0 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
1 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Super League · China
Yunnan Yukun
0 : 3 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
0 : 0 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
✓ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
1 : 1 FT
SK Poltava
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
GKS Katowice
3 : 2 FT
Motor Lublin
✓ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
0 : 1 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 29%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 46%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
0 : 1 FT
Malmo FF
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
3 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
3 : 0 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
✓ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
2 : 1 FT
Como
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
0 : 1 FT
FC Sochi
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
0 : 2 FT
Konyaspor
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
2 : 2 FT
Rizespor
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Grazer AK
1 : 1 FT
Ried
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 3 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 1 FT
Galway United
✓ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
2 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Le Mans
1 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
3 : 2 FT
Amiens
✓ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
1 : 5 FT
Annecy
Win 26%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier
2 : 1 FT
Grenoble
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
4 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
✓ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
3 : 1 FT
Cambuur
✓ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
5 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
✓ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
0 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
3 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
✓ Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
4 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
2 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 0 FT
MVV
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
3 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
5 : 0 FT
Olympic Charleroi
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
3 : 1 FT
RWDM
✓ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 26%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
1 : 1 FT
KAA Gent II
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden
4 : 0 FT
Francs Borains
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
1 : 1 FT
Lokeren-Temse
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
2 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
✓ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
2 : 1 FT
Lommel United
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 34%
Draw 37%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
1 : 0 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 3 FT
Monza
Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
3 : 2 FT
Toulouse
✓ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
3 : 0 FT
Cagliari
✓ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Championship · England
Blackburn
1 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 20%
Draw 33%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
2 : 2 FT
AVS
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Showing 52 of 52 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 17 April 2026?

52 fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Cagliari at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.