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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 28 February 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

42 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 28 February 2025. The strongest reading belongs to SHANGHAI SIPG vs Changchun Yatai at 72% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
4 : 1 FT
Dalian Zhixing
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 0 FT
Polessya
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 0 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
0 : 1 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
1 : 0 FT
Dibba Al Hisn
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Russia
Dinamo Makhachkala
1 : 1 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Karpaty
1 : 0 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 0 FT
Baniyas SC
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
1 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 2 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
1 : 0 FT
Preußen Münster
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 0 FT
Grenoble
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
2 : 3 FT
Paris FC
Win 33%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
0 : 1 FT
Martigues
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
2 : 0 FT
Bastia
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
Caen
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 2 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
3 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
5 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
3 : 2 FT
Zulte Waregem
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
2 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Orubah
2 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 13%
Draw 18%
Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 3 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
2 : 0 FT
Damac
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 3 FT
Bayern München
Win 25%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
3 : 0 FT
Reims
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
1 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Cork City
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 2 FT
Waterford
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
4 : 3 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 2 FT
Sunderland
Win 30%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Valladolid
1 : 1 FT
Las Palmas
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Limache
1 : 2 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 42 of 42 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 28 February 2025?

42 fixtures met the criteria, led by SHANGHAI SIPG vs Changchun Yatai at 72% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.