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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 22 September 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 99 fixtures on Sunday 22 September 2024. Hangzhou Greentown vs Shijiazhuang Y. J. led the list at 77% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 25%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC
4 : 1 FT
Bahia
✓ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Super League · China
Qingdao Youth Island
3 : 2 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
✓ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
2 : 1 FT
Gangwon FC
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 2 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 0 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
0 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
2 : 2 FT
Inhulets
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
2 : 1 FT
Groningen
✓ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
1 : 0 FT
Motor Lublin
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
2 : 1 FT
Lazio
✓ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Preston
0 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 1 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Rayong FC
0 : 3 FT
Bangkok United
Win 24%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 2 FT
Pardubice
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Khimki
0 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
1 : 3 FT
SSV Ulm 1846
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
2 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0 : 3 FT
Preußen Münster
Win 34%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 4 FT
Gent
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
3 : 1 FT
Liège
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
0 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Gais
3 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Varnamo
2 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 1 FT
Leganes
Win 45%
Draw 35%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 68%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 2 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 64%
Draw 17%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
1 : 2 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
6 : 0 FT
Prachuap
✓ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
3 : 1 FT
Yverdon Sport
✓ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
0 : 5 FT
Twente
Win 22%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
2 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
✓ Win 80%
Draw 15%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
4 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
0 : 3 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
0 : 0 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
1 : 1 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
5 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
✓ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Premier League · England
Brighton
2 : 2 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 27%
Draw 36%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
3 : 1 FT
Le Havre
✓ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
1 : 1 FT
Skövde AIK
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 : 1 FT
IK brage
Win 30%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
1 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
0 : 3 FT
Bari
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Mantova
1 : 0 FT
Cittadella
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Spezia
4 : 2 FT
Carrarese
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
EIF
3 : 1 FT
Gnistan
Win 19%
Draw 23%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 3 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
1 : 1 FT
OFI
Win 19%
Draw 33%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
2 : 2 FT
Dynamo
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
0 : 0 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
5 : 4 FT
Al Wahda FC
✓ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
1 : 2 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 34%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
✓ Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 1 FT
Dukla Praha
✓ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
0 : 2 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 14%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 66%
Over 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
2 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
✓ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Deinze
2 : 0 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
0 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
Win 23%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
0 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
3 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
✓ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
4 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
✓ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
0 : 0 FT
FC Lugano
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 4 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 3 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 20%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 4 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 33%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 0 FT
Toulouse
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers
1 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 17%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
3 : 2 FT
Auxerre
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
4 : 0 FT
Haugesund
✓ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
3 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
0 : 0 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
3 : 1 FT
Panserraikos
✓ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
2 : 1 FT
Austria Vienna
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
1 : 1 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · England
Manchester City
2 : 2 FT
Arsenal
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 1 FT
Borussia Dortmund
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
1 : 0 FT
Slask Wroclaw
✓ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
3 : 0 FT
Udinese
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 3 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 12%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
1 : 5 FT
Barcelona
Win 28%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
4 : 0 FT
Dender
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
2 : 2 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Farense
0 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 32%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 43%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
0 : 2 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 32%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 43%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
2 : 1 FT
Eyüpspor
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Fredrikstad
3 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
2 : 0 FT
Lokeren-Temse
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
0 : 0 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 15%
Draw 22%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
4 : 2 FT
Lamia
Win 25%
Draw 36%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Kallithea
0 : 0 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 1 FT
Pacific FC
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
2 : 3 FT
Marseille
Win 26%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
1 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
3 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
0 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
AVS
✓ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
3 : 2 FT
Flamengo
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
1 : 3 FT
Internacional
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Serie A · Brazil
Cuiaba
0 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Showing 99 of 99 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 22 September 2024?

99 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hangzhou Greentown vs Shijiazhuang Y. J. at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.