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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 20 September 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

43 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 20 September 2024. FC Schalke 04 vs SV Darmstadt 98 sits top on 71% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 3 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
0 : 0 FT
Nakhon Pathom
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
3 : 1 FT
Ajman
✓ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
0 : 3 FT
SJK
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 0 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4 : 2 FT
Damac
✓ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
4 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al Hisn
1 : 2 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 21%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–2 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
✓ Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
3 : 5 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
0 : 2 FT
Empoli
Win 22%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 1 FT
Bodrum FK
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
VPS
1 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Ligue 2 · France
Martigues
0 : 4 FT
Grenoble
Win 29%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
2 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
2 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
3 : 2 FT
PAU
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
0 : 3 FT
Laval
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
0 : 3 FT
Rodez
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 64%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen
1 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
1 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 24%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 0 FT
Emmen
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 2 FT
Excelsior
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 3 FT
FC Volendam
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 2 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 34%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 39%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
0 : 0 FT
Seraing United
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
2 : 1 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
✓ Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
0 : 3 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
2 : 3 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 0 FT
Legia Warszawa
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro
1 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 35%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
8 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
✓ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
2 : 3 FT
Torino
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 0 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
1 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 28%
Draw 37%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
3 : 0 FT
Waterford
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Championship · England
Stoke City
1 : 3 FT
Hull City
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves
2 : 1 FT
Sevilla
✓ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional
0 : 3 FT
SC Braga
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 43 of 43 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 20 September 2024?

43 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Schalke 04 vs SV Darmstadt 98 at 71% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.