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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 4 May 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 93 fixtures on Saturday 4 May 2024. Sporting CP vs Portimonense sits top on 86% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
Coquimbo Unido
3 : 1 FT
Huachipato
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Cavalry FC
3 : 1 FT
Vancouver FC
✓ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
0 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
✓ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
2 : 2 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3 : 3 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hansa Rostock
1 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 27%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Sandviken
0 : 1 FT
IK brage
Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Superettan · Sweden
Oddevold
1 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
✓ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Pathom
0 : 2 FT
Buriram United
Win 24%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 52%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Arsenal
3 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
✓ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Championship · England
Birmingham
1 : 0 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Coventry
1 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Ipswich
2 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
✓ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Leeds
1 : 2 FT
Southampton
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Championship · England
Leicester
0 : 2 FT
Blackburn
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
3 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Plymouth
1 : 0 FT
Hull City
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Rotherham
5 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Championship · England
Stoke City
4 : 0 FT
Bristol City
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Championship · England
Sunderland
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Swansea
0 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
West Brom
3 : 0 FT
Preston
✓ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Police Tero
0 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Qingdao Youth Island
0 : 0 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 17%
Draw 24%
Win 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League · China
Henan Jianye
1 : 2 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 31%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves
3 : 2 FT
AC Oulu
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
0 : 1 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
1 : 0 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
3 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 25%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre
2 : 0 FT
Paris FC
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
ŁKS Łódź
1 : 2 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 30%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
5 : 2 FT
Halmstad
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
1 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 37%
Draw 22%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten
4 : 1 FT
Skövde AIK
✓ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Superettan · Sweden
Osters IF
0 : 0 FT
Gefle IF
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Superettan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
1 : 3 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
İstanbulspor
0 : 1 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 20%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 53%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
5 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
✓ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
3 : 2 FT
Karviná
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
2 : 0 FT
Zlin
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
5 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
✓ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
3 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
✓ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 FT
Bayern München
✓ Win 57%
Draw 19%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 81%
Model Score 2–1 · 7%
Premier League · England
Brentford
0 : 0 FT
Fulham
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Burnley
1 : 4 FT
Newcastle
Win 26%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 3 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 26%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
1 : 3 FT
Charleroi
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
2 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki
0 : 0 FT
EIF
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
3 : 0 FT
Cadiz
✓ Win 78%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Real Madrid Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
1 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
2 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
✓ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
4 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Bundesliga · Austria
FC BW Linz
3 : 2 FT
WSG Wattens
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
2 : 0 FT
Al-Raed
✓ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
0 : 0 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
3 : 2 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 0 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
0 : 3 FT
BK Hacken
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
3 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
2 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
2 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor
3 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
✓ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
2 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
3 : 2 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
1 : 1 FT
KuPS
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
5 : 0 FT
Baník Ostrava
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
2 : 4 FT
Gent
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Manchester City
5 : 1 FT
Wolves
✓ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Girona
4 : 2 FT
Barcelona
✓ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
0 : 1 FT
Akhmat
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Metz
2 : 3 FT
Rennes
Win 23%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 51%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
2 : 2 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
Portimonense
✓ Win 87%
Draw 8%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 3–0 · 8%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
3 : 2 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
6 : 0 FT
Al Wehda Club
✓ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4 : 1 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
0 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League One · England
Oxford United
1 : 0 FT
Peterborough
✓ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 0 FT
Inter
Win 8%
Draw 14%
Win 78%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
4 : 1 FT
Genk
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 0 FT
Nantes
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
2 : 2 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
2 : 2 FT
Colo Colo
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Chaves
0 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 20%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 1 FT
Flamengo
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Showing 93 of 93 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 4 May 2024?

93 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Portimonense at 86% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.