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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 16 April 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

91 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 16 April 2023. KV Mechelen vs Gent led the list at 75% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 27%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Pacific FC
1 : 0 FT
Vancouver FC
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 2 FT
Vasco DA Gama
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 3 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
0 : 3 FT
Konyaspor
Win 31%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Copiapo
1 : 1 FT
Huachipato
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gangwon FC
0 : 2 FT
Incheon United
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
2 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
3 : 4 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 4 FT
Vitesse
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 3 FT
Almere City FC
Win 23%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
1 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
2 : 1 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Orenburg
1 : 4 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 34%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 : 0 FT
Lviv
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 2 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
4 : 2 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
5 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
1 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 0 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
2 : 1 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
2 : 0 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
0 : 1 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
2 : 3 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Twente
Win 30%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 3 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
0 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
0 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 23%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· England
West Ham
2 : 2 FT
Arsenal
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Auxerre
2 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
2 : 1 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
3 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 0 FT
Nice
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 0 FT
Widzew Łódź
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Utsikten
1 : 2 FT
Gais
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
1 : 1 FT
Salernitana
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Giresunspor
1 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 2 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Russia
Fakel
1 : 1 FT
Akhmat
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
1 : 1 FT
Gent
Win 21%
Draw 20%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RWDM
1 : 1 FT
SK Beveren
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
2 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zbrojovka Brno
2 : 1 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
4 : 0 FT
Mlada Boleslav
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
2 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 32%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 0 FT
Barcelona
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
1 : 3 FT
FC Sion
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
0 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 10%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0 FT
Stabaek
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
3 : 2 FT
Ham-Kam
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
1 : 1 FT
Rosenborg
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
2 : 0 FT
Brann
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
0 : 0 FT
Tromso
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
3 : 3 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
3 : 1 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
0 : 2 FT
Manchester United
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
1 : 1 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 9%
BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
2 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Mariehamn
2 : 3 FT
Lahti
Win 33%
Draw 39%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 0 FT
Juventus
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Rostov
0 : 0 FT
Zenit
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
2 : 1 FT
Plzen
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
0 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Excelsior Virton
0 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 35%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 0 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 8%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
0 : 0 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
3 : 1 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 69%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
0 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 23%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
0 : 2 FT
Valour
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
3 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
3 : 0 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
3 : 0 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
2 : 1 FT
Cruzeiro
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
0 : 2 FT
Sevilla
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
1 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
1 : 2 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
1 : 0 FT
Santos
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 91 of 91 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 16 April 2023?

91 fixtures met the criteria, led by KV Mechelen vs Gent at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.