Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 14 April 2023

Tue 11 Wed 12 Thu 13 Fri 14 Sat 15 Sun 16 Mon 17

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

37 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 14 April 2023. PEC Zwolle vs Telstar led the list at 75% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Ukraine

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Premier League · Ukraine

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Premier League · Ukraine

✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%

Model Score 0–1 · 17%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%

Model Score 1–0 · 17%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Serie A · Italy

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Süper Lig · Turkey

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Süper Lig · Turkey

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Bundesliga · Austria

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 56%

Model Score 3–0 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–2 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Serie B · Italy

✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie A · Italy

Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Lazio Clean Sheet 54%

Model Score 0–1 · 19%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Model Score 1–1 · 9%

Premier Division · Ireland

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Championship · England

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Ligue 1 · France

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

La Liga · Spain

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Primera División · Chile

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Primera División · Chile

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 37 of 37 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 14 April 2023?

37 fixtures met the criteria, led by PEC Zwolle vs Telstar at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.