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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 17 April 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

69 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 17 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig at 74% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 28%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Cuiaba
0 : 1 FT
Fluminense
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
4 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
✓ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
2 : 1 FT
Lorient
✓ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Superettan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
0 : 3 FT
Utsikten
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Arsenal Tula
1 : 2 FT
FC Rostov
Win 27%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku
0 : 2 FT
Haka
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
2 : 2 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
2 : 3 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Win 28%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 5 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 2 FT
Erzgebirge AUE
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hansa Rostock
1 : 1 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 32%
✓ Draw 36%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Ingolstadt 04
0 : 1 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 17%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 57%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Granada CF
1 : 4 FT
Levante
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
1 : 1 FT
OFI
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
2 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
✓ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
1 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Metz
1 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
0 : 0 FT
Reims
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
1 : 1 FT
Angers
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
1 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
2 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
3 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
2 : 0 FT
Landskrona BoIS
✓ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
4 : 0 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
AC Oulu
2 : 2 FT
Ilves
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
2 : 1 FT
Leicester
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
0 : 3 FT
Bayern München
Win 16%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 0 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
2 : 2 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Santos
2 : 1 FT
Coritiba
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Espanyol
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
0 : 1 FT
Ionikos
Win 28%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 2 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 2 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 21%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zlin
1 : 2 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
2 : 0 FT
Teplice
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
2 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
3 : 0 FT
Sigma Olomouc
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
3 : 1 FT
Slovácko
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
2 : 1 FT
Karviná
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
6 : 1 FT
Bordeaux
✓ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 0 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
BK Hacken
0 : 2 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
4 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
1 : 0 FT
Helsingborg
✓ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 0 FT
Khimki
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
0 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 0 FT
PAOK
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Primera División · Chile
Curico Unido
2 : 0 FT
Antofagasta
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
0 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 27%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 52%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Giresunspor
0 : 0 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
2 : 0 FT
Royal Excel Mouscron
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
1 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 0 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 1 FT
Marseille
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
3 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
2 : 3 FT
Real Madrid
Win 33%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
0 : 2 FT
Benfica
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
1 : 0 FT
U. Catolica
✓ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
3 : 2 FT
Valour
✓ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
4 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
2 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
0 : 1 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Ceara
1 : 3 FT
Botafogo
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo
2 : 1 FT
Cobresal
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Showing 69 of 69 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 17 April 2022?

69 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.