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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 15 March 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

36 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 15 March 2024. Jong AZ vs Cambuur led the list at 73% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 0 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 20%
Draw 35%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 19%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 0 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Osnabrück
0 : 4 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Pendikspor
1 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
1 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
0 : 4 FT
Al Ain
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
0 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
2 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 4 FT
Willem II
Win 14%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
3 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 0 FT
Cambuur
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
3 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
4 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 3 FT
Emmen
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
0 : 1 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
0 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
1 : 1 FT
Seraing United
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 26%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 1 FT
Al Riyadh
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
1 : 5 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
0 : 3 FT
Venezia
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
Bologna
Win 25%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 0 FT
Waterford
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
0 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 27%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 18%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 26%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
2 : 3 FT
Lyon
Win 36%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Iquique
1 : 0 FT
Cobresal
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%

Showing 36 of 36 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 15 March 2024?

36 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong AZ vs Cambuur at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.