Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 19 February 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

61 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 19 February 2023. Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSC sits top on 74% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
2 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
1 : 1 FT
Lampang FC
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 2 FT
Heerenveen
Win 16%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 0 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Miedz Legnica
2 : 1 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
1 : 2 FT
Lecce
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
4 : 3 FT
Lille
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
0 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
2 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
5 : 0 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Sandhausen
0 : 3 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Cercle Brugge
2 : 2 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
0 : 1 FT
Espanyol
Win 36%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 37%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
2 : 2 FT
FC Luzern
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
2 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 0 FT
Twente
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Lustenau
1 : 0 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 3 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
3 : 0 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
3 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
2 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
0 : 1 FT
Montpellier
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
1 : 2 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 21%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
0 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 9%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
2 : 1 FT
Zlin
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovácko
2 : 0 FT
Plzen
Win 25%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
0 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
2 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KRC Genk II
2 : 2 FT
Standard Liège II
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
2 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Santa Clara
1 : 3 FT
Famalicao
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
2 : 2 FT
Servette FC
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
1 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
4 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
3 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
3 : 1 FT
Nantes
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
2 : 0 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
0 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 32%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Spezia
0 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 27%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
3 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
2 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 0 FT
Ionikos
Win 27%
Draw 41%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
2 : 0 FT
Arouca
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
0 : 1 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 3 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
2 : 0 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 31%
Draw 38%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 14%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
0 : 3 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 33%
Draw 40%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 19%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
2 : 3 FT
Marseille
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Barcelona Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
0 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
0 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
1 : 1 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%

Showing 61 of 61 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 19 February 2023?

61 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSC at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.