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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 11 September 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 98 fixtures on Sunday 11 September 2022. Zenit vs FC Orenburg led the list at 79% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 19%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Czech Liga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
2 : 1 FT
Juventude
✓ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 2 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Ural
2 : 0 FT
Torpedo Moskva
✓ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
3 : 3 FT
Incheon United
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dnipro-1
3 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
✓ Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Vitesse
✓ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Miedz Legnica
2 : 2 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
1 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United
5 : 1 FT
Lampang FC
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
0 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten
0 : 1 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
Win 30%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 1 FT
Police Tero
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC
0 : 0 FT
Bangkok United
Win 11%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Bangkok United Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 1 FT
SV Sandhausen
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3 : 3 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Fakel
2 : 0 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
1 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 0 FT
Metal Kharkiv
✓ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
3 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
✓ Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
1 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
✓ Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
0 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Lustenau
1 : 1 FT
Lask Linz
Win 16%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
0 : 3 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Ajaccio
0 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 20%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers
2 : 1 FT
Montpellier
Win 22%
Draw 20%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
3 : 2 FT
Nantes
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
1 : 0 FT
Reims
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
0 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
0 : 2 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 23%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 55%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Osters IF
2 : 0 FT
Dalkurd FF
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
2 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
✓ Win 38%
Draw 38%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Lecce
1 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 3 FT
Udinese
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Honka
1 : 2 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Lahti
0 : 1 FT
Haka
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 48%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
HIFK Helsinki
1 : 6 FT
AC Oulu
Win 12%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
2 : 0 FT
SJK
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves
1 : 1 FT
Inter Turku
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
VPS
0 : 1 FT
KuPS
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
Win 28%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 47%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
0 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
Win 31%
✓ Draw 37%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 73%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 23%
Serie A · Brazil
Avai
1 : 1 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
0 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 29%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
0 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 1 FT
İstanbulspor
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
1 : 0 FT
Lviv
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
3 : 0 FT
Pardubice
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
3 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 1 FT
Slovácko
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
0 : 2 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 33%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Spal
2 : 0 FT
Venezia
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Elche
1 : 4 FT
Athletic Club
Win 27%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
2 : 3 FT
Casa Pia
Win 24%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
5 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
✓ Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
3 : 0 FT
FC Lugano
✓ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit
8 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
✓ Win 87%
Draw 9%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 79%
Model Score 3–0 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 FT
Twente
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
0 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 34%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 37%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
5 : 0 FT
Auxerre
✓ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
0 : 0 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
4 : 0 FT
Legia Warszawa
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
2 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
2 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 1 FT
Volos NFC
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eliteserien · Norway
Aalesund
1 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
1 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
jerv
2 : 4 FT
Molde
Win 11%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–2 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
3 : 2 FT
Valerenga
Win 33%
Draw 22%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
3 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio
2 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
✓ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
2 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
4 : 2 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Maritimo
1 : 2 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
1 : 2 FT
Boavista
Win 29%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 1 FT
Ümraniyespor
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
2 : 3 FT
Galatasaray
Win 26%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
1 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
✓ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
6 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
✓ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
3 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
2 : 1 FT
Rosenborg
✓ Win 40%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Deinze
1 : 2 FT
RWDM
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
5 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
✓ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
2 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 34%
Draw 36%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
2 : 1 FT
Lyon
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
2 : 2 FT
Salernitana
Win 47%
Draw 36%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 FT
Corinthians
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Coritiba
2 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
✓ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
1 : 0 FT
Villarreal
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
2 : 0 FT
Zulte Waregem
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
2 : 3 FT
SC Braga
Win 18%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
1 : 1 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Goias
1 : 1 FT
Flamengo
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 98 of 98 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 11 September 2022?

98 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs FC Orenburg at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.