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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Tuesday 13 September 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

38 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 13 September 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Coquimbo Unido vs A. Italiano at 68% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 26%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
2 : 1 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
2 : 2 FT
Daegu FC
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
1 : 0 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · China
Guangzhou R&F
1 : 0 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
✓ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
2 : 3 FT
IK brage
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Superettan · Sweden
Norrby IF
3 : 0 FT
Halmstad
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Blackburn
2 : 0 FT
Watford
✓ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Huddersfield
1 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Hull City
0 : 3 FT
Stoke City
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
2 : 3 FT
Cardiff
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Championship · England
Swansea
0 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 13%
League One · England
Barnsley
1 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Burton Albion
0 : 2 FT
Portsmouth
Win 17%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League One · England
Charlton
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
League One · England
Cheltenham
2 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Ipswich
2 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
League One · England
Lincoln
2 : 0 FT
Derby
✓ Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 2 FT
Bolton
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Morecambe
0 : 3 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 22%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League One · England
Peterborough
0 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
League One · England
Plymouth
1 : 0 FT
Oxford United
✓ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League One · England
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 34%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
League One · England
Wycombe
1 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 30%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Barrow
2 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Crawley Town
3 : 2 FT
Stockport County
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Grimsby
1 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 69% Grimsby Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 20%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
0 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Hartlepool
1 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
League Two · England
Mansfield Town
0 : 0 FT
Carlisle
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Rochdale
0 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 26%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League Two · England
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Newport County
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
3 : 2 FT
Sutton Utd
✓ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
League Two · England
Tranmere
1 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
✓ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Preston
1 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Primera División · Chile
Coquimbo Unido
0 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
Win 35%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 43%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%

Showing 38 of 38 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 13 September 2022?

38 fixtures met the criteria, led by Coquimbo Unido vs A. Italiano at 68% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.