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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 9 September 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 40 fixtures on Friday 9 September 2022. Lens vs Estac Troyes led the list at 83% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División Β· Chile
Curico Unido
2 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
0 : 0 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
1 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 62%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
2 : 4 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
1 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
3 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
3 : 0 FT
Al Baten
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
2 : 2 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Holstein Kiel
2 : 3 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
3 : 0 FT
Baniyas SC
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
1 : 2 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 28%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Sochi
2 : 1 FT
Dynamo
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 3 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 2 FT
Jong AZ
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
0 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
5 : 0 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
5 : 3 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
2 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
1 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
2 : 3 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 2 FT
Lommel United
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
0 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 32%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Widzew Łódź
2 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
1 : 0 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 35%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
3 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
1 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 18%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 78%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 7%
La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
2 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 0 FT
Antofagasta
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%

Showing 40 of 40 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 9 September 2022?

40 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lens vs Estac Troyes at 83% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.