Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Saturday 18 December 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

73 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 18 December 2021. Dordrecht vs Excelsior led the list at 82% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 14%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 2 FT
Qingdao Huanghai
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
Dalian Aerbin
1 : 2 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 31%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 3 FT
Sivasspor
Win 35%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 1 FT
Chongqing Lifan
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Wuhan Zall
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Erzgebirge AUE
1 : 3 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 30%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Ingolstadt 04
3 : 0 FT
Dynamo Dresden
Win 26%
Draw 35%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
1 : 4 FT
Cremonese
Win 27%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Serie B Β· Italy
Como
1 : 1 FT
Reggina
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Serie B Β· Italy
Crotone
4 : 1 FT
Pordenone
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
0 : 2 FT
Pisa
Win 26%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 0 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
2 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
1 : 4 FT
AS Roma
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
0 : 1 FT
Plzen
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 2 FT
Pardubice
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovácko
2 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
0 : 2 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Bochum
0 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Blackburn
4 : 0 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Blackpool
3 : 1 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 32%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Championship Β· England
Bristol City
2 : 3 FT
Huddersfield
Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Championship Β· England
Nottingham Forest
2 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 35%
Draw 36%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
League One Β· England
Cambridge United
0 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
League One Β· England
Ipswich
1 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Morecambe
0 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 40%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
League One Β· England
Oxford United
2 : 3 FT
Wigan
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Plymouth
1 : 0 FT
Charlton
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
3 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Rochdale
3 : 0 FT
Newport County
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Salford City
1 : 0 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 30%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
1 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Tranmere
1 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
4 : 0 FT
Spal
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 3 FT
Villarreal
Win 33%
Draw 43%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 86% BTTS No 77% Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 28%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 2 FT
Oostende
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
2 : 2 FT
Utrecht
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Tondela
0 : 1 FT
Pacos Ferreira
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
1 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 30%
βœ“ Draw 36%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
1 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 3 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Slask Wroclaw
0 : 2 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
0 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 47%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Zurich
3 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
0 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· England
Leeds
1 : 4 FT
Arsenal
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
3 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
3 : 2 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
3 : 2 FT
Cercle Brugge
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
3 : 2 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 37%
Draw 22%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
2 : 1 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
4 : 2 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 8%
Draw 11%
Win 80%
Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–3 Β· 8%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
5 : 0 FT
Jagiellonia
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
1 : 1 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
0 : 2 FT
Servette FC
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
0 : 4 FT
Udinese
Win 36%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
2 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
2 : 2 FT
Royal Excel Mouscron
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
1 : 3 FT
Twente
Win 23%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 27%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 73 of 73 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 18 December 2021?

73 fixtures met the criteria, led by Dordrecht vs Excelsior at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.