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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 3 October 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

108 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 3 October 2021. Bayern München vs Eintracht Frankfurt led the list at 85% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 21%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
0 : 2 FT
U. Catolica
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 FT
Internacional
✓ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
2 : 1 FT
Seongnam FC
✓ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
2 : 3 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
1 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
3 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
3 : 0 FT
Lazio
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 2 FT
Hatayspor
Win 24%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 54%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
2 : 0 FT
Paris Saint Germain
✓ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
Akropolis
1 : 0 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
FC UFA
0 : 1 FT
Ural
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2 : 1 FT
Suphanburi
Win 31%
Draw 37%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
2 : 1 FT
Khon Kaen United
✓ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
0 : 0 FT
Oleksandria
Win 32%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 68%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 19%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
3 : 0 FT
FC Ingolstadt 04
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
3 : 0 FT
Dynamo Dresden
✓ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Sandhausen
1 : 6 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 22%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
1 : 1 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 48%
Draw 21%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
2 : 4 FT
Como
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Elche
1 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Lahti
2 : 1 FT
Kooteepee
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
6 : 2 FT
FC Sion
✓ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
0 : 1 FT
Utrecht
Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 61%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
5 : 2 FT
WSG Wattens
✓ Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
3 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
2 : 2 FT
Leicester
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · England
Tottenham
2 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
West Ham
1 : 2 FT
Brentford
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers
3 : 2 FT
Metz
✓ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
1 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
3 : 0 FT
Bordeaux
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
2 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
✓ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
1 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
✓ Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
3 : 1 FT
Sirius
✓ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Orebro SK
1 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 35%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
0 : 1 FT
Norrby IF
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Helsingborg
1 : 2 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
4 : 0 FT
Spezia
✓ Win 46%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Serie A · Italy
Sampdoria
3 : 3 FT
Udinese
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
1 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 24%
Draw 37%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 3 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
4 : 1 FT
Altay
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
2 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
✓ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit
1 : 2 FT
FC Sochi
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
5 : 1 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
4 : 3 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 24%
Draw 40%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku
2 : 0 FT
HIFK Helsinki
✓ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
0 : 0 FT
AC Oulu
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
2 : 0 FT
Desna
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
1 : 0 FT
Minai
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
2 : 2 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Karviná
0 : 1 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
0 : 2 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Pordenone
2 : 4 FT
Vicenza Virtus
Win 24%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
2 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Belenenses
0 : 2 FT
Tondela
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
0 : 6 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 33%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 1 FT
Feyenoord
Win 9%
Draw 14%
Win 78%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
2 : 0 FT
Marseille
Win 22%
Draw 33%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
1 : 1 FT
Falkenbergs FF
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
3 : 1 FT
Lask Linz
✓ Win 55%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
1 : 3 FT
PAOK
Win 29%
Draw 37%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
2 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
1 : 2 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 3–1 · 8%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
3 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
3 : 1 FT
Hammarby FF
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
0 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki
2 : 3 FT
SJK
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 68% HJK Helsinki Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 20%
Eliteserien · Norway
Mjondalen
1 : 1 FT
Brann
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 3 FT
Molde
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stabaek
0 : 3 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 18%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
2 : 0 FT
Haugesund
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
3 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
✓ Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 13%
Draw 17%
✓ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
2 : 0 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
2 : 3 FT
Galatasaray
Win 29%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
1 : 2 FT
FC Rostov
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
0 : 1 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 22%
Draw 28%
Win 50%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
2 : 0 FT
Real Betis
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 0 FT
Gent
✓ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
0 : 0 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
0 : 1 FT
Portimonense
Win 29%
Draw 36%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
2 : 2 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 31%
✓ Draw 42%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
1 : 0 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
2 : 2 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Bundesliga · Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
0 : 4 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 24%
Draw 37%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Super League 1 · Greece
Ionikos
1 : 2 FT
Lamia
Win 36%
Draw 43%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 · 21%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
0 : 0 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 48%
Draw 36%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
✓ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Deinze
1 : 2 FT
RWDM
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Benevento
0 : 0 FT
Perugia
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
Palestino
1 : 2 FT
Colo Colo
Win 29%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
1 : 1 FT
Lyon
Win 25%
Draw 36%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
2 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 29%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
3 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
1 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 21%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Granada CF
1 : 0 FT
Sevilla
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
3 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
2 : 2 FT
Boavista
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Atlético Ottawa
0 : 3 FT
Forge
Win 32%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
2 : 2 FT
Antofagasta
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
1 : 1 FT
Juventude
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 108 of 108 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 3 October 2021?

108 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Eintracht Frankfurt at 85% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.