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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 5 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 5 May 2024. Valencia vs Alaves led the list at 54% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
0 : 1 FT
Alaves
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 67% Valencia Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
4 : 1 FT
Lecco
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
5 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
6 : 2 FT
IFK Norrkoping
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#5 Super League Β· China
Sichuan Jiuniu
0 : 6 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 7%
Draw 13%
βœ“ Win 80%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
3 : 3 FT
Genoa
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Wehen
0 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 10%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 73%
Over 2.5 61%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 0 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
2 : 2 FT
Spezia
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Hatta SC
0 : 0 FT
Ajman
Win 9%
Draw 16%
Win 76%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 0 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#13 Superettan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
0 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 26%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
1 : 0 FT
Catanzaro
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#17 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 0 FT
Lillestrom
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
6 : 1 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
1 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 5 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Valencia vs Alaves at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.