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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 6 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 6 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. at 53% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 38%
Draw 39%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 32%
Draw 40%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 72%
#3 Premier League · Russia
Fakel
1 : 1 FT
Zenit
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#4 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 3 FT
Waterford
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 2 FT
Pendikspor
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
#6 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Gais
2 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
#7 Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 : 1 FT
Trelleborg
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
2 : 2 FT
Rubin
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
#9 Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
0 : 5 FT
A. Italiano
Win 32%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
0 : 0 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 15%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#11 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
2 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
✓ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 0 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Ligue 1 · France
Lille
3 : 4 FT
Lyon
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
3 : 1 FT
Minai
✓ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 56%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
1 : 2 FT
Atalanta
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Serie A · Italy
Udinese
1 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 League Two · England
Crewe
0 : 2 FT
Doncaster
Win 18%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 62%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 1 FT
Dundalk
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
0 : 1 FT
Al Ain
Win 17%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 62%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 6 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.