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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 7 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 7 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to VfL Osnabrück vs FC Schalke 04 at 30% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 30% down to 18%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Osnabrück
0 : 4 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 57%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
0 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
3 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 League One Β· England
Bolton
2 : 3 FT
Barnsley
Win 55%
Draw 19%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
1 : 0 FT
Al Nasr
Win 33%
Draw 22%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 5 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 7 May 2024?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by VfL Osnabrück vs FC Schalke 04 at 30% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.