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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 24 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 24 September 2021. Quevilly vs Guingamp sits top on 51% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 37%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
2 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 25%
βœ“ Draw 41%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 69%
#2 Championship Β· England
Coventry
3 : 0 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 2 FT
Dunkerque
Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
0 : 2 FT
Ajman
Win 26%
Draw 43%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
4 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Niort
4 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 30%
Draw 40%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 65%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nimes
0 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 29%
Draw 39%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
1 : 0 FT
Maritimo
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 36%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3 : 2 FT
Erzgebirge AUE
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
2 : 2 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Sochaux
0 : 0 FT
Auxerre
Win 28%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#14 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
3 : 0 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 34%
Draw 39%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 53%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 3 FT
Bayern München
Win 14%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 1 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 30%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
0 : 4 FT
Al Nasr
Win 38%
Draw 37%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 63%
#20 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
1 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 24 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Quevilly vs Guingamp at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.