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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 26 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 26 September 2021. Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC led the list at 54% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sport Recife
0 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 23%
Draw 41%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 72% ✓ Fortaleza EC Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
4 : 0 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 20%
Draw 37%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Desna
1 : 2 FT
FC Kharkiv
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 67%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
1 : 2 FT
Santiago Wanderers
Win 51%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 40%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 10%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 61%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
2 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
Win 26%
Draw 34%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 69%
#8 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
2 : 1 FT
Valour
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
0 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 25%
Draw 36%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
America Mineiro
1 : 1 FT
Flamengo
Win 18%
Draw 30%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
4 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
BTTS No 54%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Giresunspor
1 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
Win 31%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 69%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Minai
1 : 2 FT
Lviv
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
3 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 35%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Premier League Β· England
Southampton
0 : 1 FT
Wolves
Win 31%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#16 Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
2 : 3 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
2 : 0 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#18 Primera División Β· Chile
Everton de Vina
0 : 0 FT
Curico Unido
Win 38%
Draw 36%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#19 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 31%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
3 : 2 FT
Sampdoria
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 26 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.