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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 27 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 27 September 2021. Atletico Goianiense vs Cuiaba sits top on 53% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 26%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
0 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
Win 22%
Draw 38%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#2 Super League 1 · Greece
PAS Giannina
1 : 1 FT
OFI
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 70%
#3 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
2 : 2 FT
Belenenses
Win 37%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 65%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Toulouse
2 : 3 FT
Caen
Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#5 Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
1 : 3 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#6 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
2 : 2 FT
Konyaspor
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#7 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
1 : 1 FT
Sirius
Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#8 Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#9 Super League 1 · Greece
Apollon Smirnis
0 : 0 FT
Ionikos
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 FT
Granada CF
Win 30%
Draw 39%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
1 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#12 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
2 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 56%
#13 Premier League · Russia
Ural
2 : 0 FT
Arsenal Tula
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Venezia
1 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
#15 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
0 : 2 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 33%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#16 Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
1 : 1 FT
Inhulets
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#17 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 4 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53%
#18 Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 2 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 28%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
1 : 1 FT
Estoril
Win 33%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
3 : 1 FT
MVV
✓ Win 73%
Draw 14%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 27 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico Goianiense vs Cuiaba at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.