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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 28 January 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

49 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 28 January 2024. FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano sits top on 72% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 29%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
2 : 3 FT
Başakşehir
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heerenveen
2 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
2 : 1 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
0 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
3 : 4 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 24%
Draw 33%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
3 : 0 FT
Club Brugge II
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
0 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 0 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
4 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 4 FT
FC Lugano
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Championship Β· England
QPR
1 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 2 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
0 : 0 FT
Twente
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
3 : 3 FT
Le Havre
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims
0 : 0 FT
Nantes
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
1 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 15%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
1 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
1 : 0 FT
Antwerp
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Liège
0 : 2 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 27%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 49%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
1 : 2 FT
Sampdoria
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
0 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
1 : 4 FT
Portimonense
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 0 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
3 : 1 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
2 : 1 FT
FC Zurich
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 1 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
0 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
2 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
0 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 32%
Draw 38%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 1 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
0 : 0 FT
Napoli
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
1 : 1 FT
Osasuna
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
2 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 9%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Farense
1 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 29%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
3 : 1 FT
RWDM
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Oostende
0 : 1 FT
Deinze
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
2 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
0 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 55%
BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%
La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
5 : 0 FT
Vizela
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 49 of 49 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 28 January 2024?

49 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano at 72% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.