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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 1 May 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

62 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 1 May 2022. PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II sits top on 65% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heerenveen
3 : 3 FT
Cambuur
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
2 : 1 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 68% Juventus Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 20%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
3 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 18%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
2 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Russia
Spartak Moscow
2 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
5 : 2 FT
Suphanburi
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2 : 0 FT
Muangthong United
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
0 : 0 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
1 : 1 FT
Osasuna
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
3 : 0 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Sion
1 : 2 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 25%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
4 : 2 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS No 57% PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Everton
1 : 0 FT
Chelsea
Win 16%
Draw 24%
Win 60%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
3 : 1 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
1 : 2 FT
Reims
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
2 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
2 : 2 FT
Metz
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Nieciecza
1 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
0 : 6 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 65% Mjallby AIF Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
0 : 2 FT
Utsikten
Win 35%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
1 : 3 FT
Torino
Win 34%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kayserispor
2 : 3 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 33%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Yeni Malatyaspor
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Russia
Khimki
1 : 1 FT
FC UFA
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
1 : 1 FT
Juventude
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 2 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 65% Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
0 : 1 FT
Pardubice
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
2 : 0 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zlin
3 : 0 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Granada CF
1 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 1 FT
Santa Clara
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
0 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
3 : 0 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 21%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Bordeaux
0 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 34%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
West Ham
1 : 2 FT
Arsenal
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 0 FT
Wisla Krakow
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
3 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
0 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
1 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 31%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Premier League Β· Russia
Akhmat
2 : 0 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
0 : 0 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 2 FT
Boavista
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
1 : 1 FT
Plzen
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 3 FT
Sivasspor
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Göztepe
1 : 7 FT
Rizespor
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
3 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
1 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
0 : 3 FT
Lyon
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
0 : 0 FT
Bologna
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
3 : 2 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
2 : 1 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
4 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Cavalry FC
2 : 0 FT
Pacific FC
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
0 : 0 FT
Avai
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%

Showing 62 of 62 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 1 May 2022?

62 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II at 65% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.