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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 29 April 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

37 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 29 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Bohemians vs UCD at 75% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
AC Oulu
3 : 0 FT
Haka
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
4 : 0 FT
Mariehamn
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
0 : 2 FT
Honka
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
3 : 1 FT
SJK
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
3 : 1 FT
VPS
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
2 : 3 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 26%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
2 : 3 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 3 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
2 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 28%
Draw 34%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Sandhausen
1 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
3 : 2 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Giresunspor
2 : 0 FT
Adana Demirspor
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 0 FT
Emmen
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 21%
Draw 21%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
3 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 3 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 2 FT
Excelsior
Win 28%
Draw 22%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
2 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
1 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
BTTS No 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 14%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
QPR
1 : 3 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
4 : 2 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
3 : 0 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
4 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 4 FT
Derry City
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
3 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
1 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Finn Harps
1 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
3 : 1 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%

Showing 37 of 37 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 29 April 2022?

37 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bohemians vs UCD at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.