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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 19 September 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

83 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 19 September 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Lazio vs Cagliari at 75% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 15%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Ceara
0 : 0 FT
Santos
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
1 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 1 FT
Seongnam FC
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
2 : 1 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
✓ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 3 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
0 : 3 FT
Sampdoria
Win 29%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Giresunspor
0 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
2 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 45%
Draw 34%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Akropolis
0 : 2 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 33%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 FT
Police Tero
✓ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Suphanburi
2 : 2 FT
Prachuap
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
1 : 0 FT
Dynamo Dresden
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
4 : 1 FT
FC Ingolstadt 04
✓ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Erzgebirge AUE
1 : 4 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 8%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 67%
BTTS No 57% SC Paderborn 07 Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 24%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
0 : 0 FT
Villarreal
Win 33%
✓ Draw 39%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Honka
0 : 0 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
0 : 4 FT
Feyenoord
Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
1 : 1 FT
Lask Linz
Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
5 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Brighton
2 : 1 FT
Leicester
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
West Ham
1 : 2 FT
Manchester United
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers
1 : 4 FT
Nantes
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Reims
0 : 0 FT
Lorient
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
1 : 1 FT
Montpellier
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
3 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
✓ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK
3 : 1 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 16%
Draw 30%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Superettan · Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
0 : 2 FT
Osters IF
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Venezia
1 : 2 FT
Spezia
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Apollon Smirnis
1 : 3 FT
Volos NFC
Win 50%
Draw 37%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 85% BTTS No 82% Apollon Smirnis Clean Sheet 70%
Model Score 0–0 · 27%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
0 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
2 : 3 FT
Arsenal Tula
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
1 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
2 : 1 FT
Seraing United
✓ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 2 FT
Deinze
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
2 : 0 FT
Minai
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
1 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 62% Sparta Praha Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 15%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Karviná
1 : 1 FT
Teplice
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 FT
Sevilla
Win 31%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 62%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
1 : 1 FT
Pacos Ferreira
Win 37%
✓ Draw 37%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
1 : 4 FT
Twente
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
3 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
2 : 0 FT
Rennes
✓ Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 0 FT
Rapid Vienna
✓ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
1 : 2 FT
Panetolikos
Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 82% BTTS No 76% Atromitos Clean Sheet 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 23%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
3 : 3 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 82% BTTS No 76% OFI Clean Sheet 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 23%
Premier League · England
Tottenham
0 : 3 FT
Chelsea
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 14%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
3 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
✓ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
0 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 30%
Draw 38%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Eliteserien · Norway
Mjondalen
1 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 3 FT
Rosenborg
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
1 : 3 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
1 : 1 FT
Molde
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
3 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 18%
Draw 19%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio
2 : 2 FT
Cagliari
Win 66%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 18%
Draw 30%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 68% Fenerbahçe Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 20%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
2 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
✓ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
0 : 1 FT
Dynamo
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
2 : 2 FT
Espanyol
Win 30%
✓ Draw 44%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 69%
Model Score 0–0 · 23%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
3 : 0 FT
Chornomorets
✓ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Lviv
0 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
5 : 0 FT
Moreirense
✓ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 5 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 34%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
1 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
1 : 1 FT
Brann
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
3 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Parma
1 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 1 FT
Lyon
✓ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
1 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Goianiense
Win 30%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
1 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 0 FT
Gent
✓ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
0 : 1 FT
Sporting CP
Win 32%
Draw 37%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
1 : 1 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
America Mineiro
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 83 of 83 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 19 September 2021?

83 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lazio vs Cagliari at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.