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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 13 March 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Lask Linz
0 : 0 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
1 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.