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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Wednesday 11 March 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Norwich
2 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 56%
#2 Championship Β· England
Oxford United
1 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
1 : 2 FT
Al Nasr
Win 35%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
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Showing top 12 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.