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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Monday 16 March 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
0 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 32%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Cremonese
1 : 4 FT
Fiorentina
Win 31%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
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Showing top 17 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.