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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Tuesday 10 March 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
3 : 3 FT
Ipswich
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 League Two Β· England
Barrow
0 : 2 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
4 : 2 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
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Showing top 19 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.