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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Thursday 12 March 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Remo
0 : 2 FT
Fluminense
Win 36%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 38%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Najma
1 : 3 FT
Damac
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
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Showing top 10 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.