Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 18 September 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 18 September 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Bayern München vs VfL Bochum (Bayern München or draw) at 93% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
93%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
92%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS or draw
90%
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
90%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv or draw
89%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde or draw
88%
Superettan · Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna or draw
88%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAS Giannina or draw
87%
Championship · England
Fulham or draw
86%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin or draw
86%
Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking or draw
86%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG or draw
85%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw
85%
Serie B · Italy
Cittadella or draw
84%
Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK or draw
84%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras or draw
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht or draw
84%
League One · England
Sheffield Wednesday or draw
83%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm or draw
83%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 18 September 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs VfL Bochum (Bayern München or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.