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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 20 September 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 20 September 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Barcelona vs Granada CF (Barcelona or draw) at 84% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 84%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 82%
Benfica v Boavista prediction
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 60%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 80%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden IFK Varnamo or draw 80%
IFK Varnamo v Orgryte IS prediction
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 64%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 78%
Flamengo v Gremio prediction
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv or draw 76%
Ural v Lokomotiv prediction
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Brescia or draw 76%
Frosinone v Brescia prediction
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 20 September 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Granada CF (Barcelona or draw) at 84% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.