Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 17 September 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Friday 17 September 2021. Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Hertha BSC or draw) sits top on 89% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Pro League supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 84%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC or draw
89%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman or draw
88%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac or draw
88%
Super League 1 · Greece
Ionikos or draw
87%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior or draw
87%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen or draw
85%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira or draw
83%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain or draw
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC or draw
80%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam or draw
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ or draw
79%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia or draw
79%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren or draw
79%
Premier League · Ukraine
Desna or draw
78%
Primera División · Chile
Cobresal or draw
77%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc or draw
77%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin or draw
76%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg or draw
75%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone or draw
75%
Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 17 September 2021?
19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Hertha BSC or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.