Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 19 September 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 19 September 2021. Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec (Sparta Praha or draw) led the list at 93% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha or draw
93%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
92%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC or draw
88%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli or draw
88%
Super League 1 · Greece
Apollon Smirnis or draw
87%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg or draw
86%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain or draw
85%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers or draw
84%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg or draw
84%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor or draw
84%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio or draw
83%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping or draw
83%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund or draw
83%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma or draw
82%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe or draw
82%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray or draw
81%
Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos or draw
81%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI or draw
81%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Karviná or draw
80%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Predictions by country
UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 19 September 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec (Sparta Praha or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.