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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 11 April 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 45 fixtures on Friday 11 April 2025. Ajman vs Al-Jazira led the list at 78% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 28%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
4 : 0 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
✓ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 3 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
1 : 4 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 28%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
1 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 44%
Draw 20%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 2–1 · 7%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
2 : 4 FT
Dibba Al Hisn
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Kooteepee
2 : 2 FT
VPS
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 1 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
2 : 4 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
1 : 2 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 74%
Draw 21%
Win 6%
BTTS No 60% Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 15%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 2 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 23%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Oddevold
1 : 3 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor
0 : 2 FT
Galatasaray
Win 28%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 48%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
1 : 0 FT
HJK Helsinki
✓ Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Austria
FC BW Linz
1 : 2 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 34%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
0 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
2 : 2 FT
Caen
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 2 · France
Martigues
1 : 4 FT
Metz
Win 28%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 46%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
2 : 2 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 0 FT
Dunkerque
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
0 : 1 FT
Annecy
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
✓ Win 56%
Draw 19%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
2 : 0 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 0 FT
De Graafschap
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
1 : 0 FT
Emmen
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
0 : 1 FT
Lommel United
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
1 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 19%
Draw 20%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 3 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
2 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
✓ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
2 : 1 FT
Palermo
✓ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Notts County
1 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
0 : 2 FT
Reims
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
0 : 4 FT
AC Milan
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 2 FT
Charleroi
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
Cork City
0 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 34%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 3 FT
Drogheda United
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Burnley
2 : 1 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 70% Burnley Clean Sheet 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 21%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
1 : 0 FT
Sevilla
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Waterford
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 26%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Showing 45 of 45 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 11 April 2025?

45 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajman vs Al-Jazira at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.