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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 16 July 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

33 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 16 July 2023. Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam sits top on 78% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
1 : 1 FT
Valour
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
2 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
4 : 2 FT
Jeju United FC
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Incheon United
2 : 0 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Super League Β· China
Dalian Aerbin
0 : 0 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
1 : 4 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 10%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 69%
BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 14%
Super League Β· China
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
3 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
BTTS No 59% IF Elfsborg Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 15%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Gais
1 : 1 FT
Gefle IF
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Superettan Β· Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
2 : 1 FT
IK brage
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
0 : 0 FT
Coritiba
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
0 : 3 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 1 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
4 : 2 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
2 : 1 FT
Tromso
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 : 3 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 3–1 Β· 8%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
0 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
1 : 2 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 32%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
1 : 1 FT
SJK
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Copiapo
1 : 0 FT
A. Italiano
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
1 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Atlético Ottawa
3 : 1 FT
Vancouver FC
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
0 : 0 FT
Flamengo
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
4 : 1 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
0 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Primera División Β· Chile
Magallanes
1 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
0 : 0 FT
Palmeiras
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
2 : 0 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Primera División Β· Chile
Everton de Vina
1 : 2 FT
Union La Calera
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 33 of 33 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 16 July 2023?

33 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.