Fixture360 logo Fixture360 logo
Sign in Register
🔢

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 14 January 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 75 fixtures on Saturday 14 January 2023. Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior sits top on 74% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 23%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
2 : 2 FT
Giresunspor
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Baten
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
2 : 1 FT
Manchester City
✓ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Rotherham
4 : 0 FT
Blackburn
✓ Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
4 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cagliari
2 : 0 FT
Como
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Perugia
3 : 3 FT
Palermo
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa
1 : 2 FT
Cittadella
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie B · Italy
Reggina
0 : 1 FT
Spal
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
0 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 33%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
3 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
✓ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
1 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
2 : 3 FT
Monza
Win 27%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
2 : 4 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 31%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Brighton
3 : 0 FT
Liverpool
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Everton
1 : 2 FT
Southampton
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
2 : 0 FT
Leicester
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Wolves
1 : 0 FT
West Ham
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Championship · England
Bristol City
4 : 2 FT
Birmingham
✓ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Burnley
1 : 0 FT
Coventry
✓ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Championship · England
Cardiff
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Hull City
1 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Luton
2 : 3 FT
West Brom
Win 35%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 FT
Millwall
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Preston
0 : 4 FT
Norwich
Win 30%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Championship · England
Reading
2 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
3 : 1 FT
Stoke City
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Sunderland
1 : 3 FT
Swansea
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Watford
2 : 0 FT
Blackpool
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Accrington ST
2 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Bolton
3 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
✓ Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
League One · England
Burton Albion
0 : 4 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Charlton
2 : 0 FT
Barnsley
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Cheltenham
2 : 3 FT
Derby
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 68%
Model Score 0–0 · 19%
League One · England
Exeter City
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League One · England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2 FT
Oxford United
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Ipswich
1 : 1 FT
Plymouth
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 0 FT
Lincoln
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Wycombe
0 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 33%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Carlisle
2 : 0 FT
Newport County
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Gillingham
2 : 0 FT
Hartlepool
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Leyton Orient
0 : 0 FT
Barrow
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League Two · England
Mansfield Town
1 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Rochdale
1 : 2 FT
Colchester
Win 32%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Salford City
2 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Stockport County
2 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
5 : 0 FT
Grimsby
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Tranmere
1 : 1 FT
Walsall
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
1 : 1 FT
Atromitos
Win 30%
✓ Draw 36%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
2 : 1 FT
Modena
✓ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Girona
2 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
3 : 0 FT
Maritimo
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
1 : 0 FT
Auxerre
✓ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
1 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
✓ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
0 : 0 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Lecce
2 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
2 : 1 FT
Oostende
✓ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
0 : 2 FT
St. Truiden
Win 31%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Brentford
2 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
✓ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
0 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 31%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
3 : 1 FT
Lorient
✓ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
0 : 1 FT
Pacos Ferreira
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
0 : 0 FT
OFI
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
✓ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
1 : 0 FT
Zulte Waregem
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 2 FT
Strasbourg
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 0 FT
Excelsior
✓ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–0 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
0 : 0 FT
Twente
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
3 : 1 FT
Athletic Club
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
Boavista
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Showing 75 of 75 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 14 January 2023?

75 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.