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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 15 January 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

43 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 15 January 2023. Heracles vs PEC Zwolle led the list at 78% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 27%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ümraniyespor
0 : 2 FT
İstanbulspor
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 0 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
5 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 8%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 0 FT
Brescia
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
1 : 2 FT
Espanyol
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
2 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 34%
Draw 22%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
2 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 2 FT
Utrecht
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
0 : 3 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 56%
Draw 19%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
1 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
1 : 0 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
1 : 2 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 23%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
0 : 3 FT
Nantes
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims
0 : 0 FT
Nice
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
1 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
0 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
1 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
4 : 1 FT
Panetolikos
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 34%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al-Adalah
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
2 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
3 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0 FT
Levadiakos
Win 57%
Draw 34%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 22%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
1 : 1 FT
Benevento
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
1 : 0 FT
Ascoli
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Almeria
1 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Chaves
1 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
0 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 25%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
0 : 0 FT
Cambuur
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
7 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
0 : 2 FT
Arsenal
Win 28%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
8 : 2 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 0 FT
Antwerp
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 34%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
2 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAS Giannina
0 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 21%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 46%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
1 : 0 FT
Paris Saint Germain
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
2 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
2 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
4 : 1 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%

Showing 43 of 43 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 15 January 2023?

43 fixtures met the criteria, led by Heracles vs PEC Zwolle at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.